Shanghai Port 1-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.33
No
33%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.85
2-3 Goals
43%
2.18
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
13%
4.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
3.21
1/2
5%
22.0
1/X
11%
12.15
X/1
14%
6.21
X/2
9%
6.69
X/X
6%
6.67
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
8%
3.59
2/X
9%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
40%
+11.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
36%
-13.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
67%
BTTS Yes
71%
-3.7pp
33%
BTTS No
29%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 40%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.56/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.84
-33% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
9.0 Crosses 14.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.33 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
399 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-1 HT 3-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
20.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.12.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
05.10.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
1-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.40 xG 2.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
454 Passes 285
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan edged past Shanghai Port 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shanghai Port at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 59% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 41%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.40 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?

Shanghai Port 1-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 51%, draw 26%, Beijing Guoan 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Port) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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