Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 24% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.2
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
8%
5.95
X/2
8%
5.14
X/X
12%
4.38
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
21%
3.41
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.50/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.12
+24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
14.7 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.12.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
05.10.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
28.07.2021 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
28.04.2021 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 2-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beijing Guoan
2-2
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.45 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
232 Passes 405
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Beijing Guoan had 40% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 60%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.45 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 1.67 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port?

Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 34%, draw 28%, Shanghai Port 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Port) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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