Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.17
1/2
5%
22.3
1/X
4%
15.2
X/1
4%
9.56
X/2
17%
4.02
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
2.17
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.06/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.86
+17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -50%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
14.6 Crosses 27.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.10 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
316 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
28.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
17.11.2022 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
18.10.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0-1
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.67 xG 1.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
221 Passes 390
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan edged past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 39% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 61%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.67 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.50 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Taishan?

Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 25%, draw 22%, Shandong Taishan 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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