Shanghai Port 5-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.68
Over 2.5
60%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
9.43
2-3 Goals
35%
2.49
4-5 Goals
26%
2.33
6+ Goals
16%
3.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.49
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.25
X/1
18%
3.91
X/2
7%
18.2
X/X
9%
10.35
2/1
7%
17.15
2/2
10%
11.15
2/X
3%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.9pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.8pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.96/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.64
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
27.0 Crosses 10.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
397 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
20.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-2 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
29.06.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
27.12.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
05.10.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
28.07.2021 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
5-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
4.70 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
31 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
374 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
50 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port swept aside Beijing Guoan 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 54% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 46%, shots finished 31-12, expected goals 4.70 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?

Shanghai Port 5-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 62%, draw 18%, Beijing Guoan 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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