Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.43
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.8
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
21%
2.96
2/X
9%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.6 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.96 xG 1.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 469
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
15.09.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-0 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
27.05.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
04.12.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-4 HT 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
24.09.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-4 HT 1-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.06 xG 0.34
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
225 Passes 472
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Wuhan Three Towns shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 35% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 65%, shots finished 4-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 2.40 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 32%, draw 28%, Wuhan Three Towns 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✓ BTTS Yes
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