Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.83
2-3 Goals
41%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.8
X/1
16%
3.85
X/2
8%
18.45
X/X
9%
8.34
2/1
8%
20.05
2/2
6%
12.45
2/X
6%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.34/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.51
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.9 Crosses 24.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.16 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.09.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
08.06.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
08.07.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
16.06.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-1
AWAY Tianjin Teda
3.53 xG 0.49
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
373 Passes 138
80% Pass Accuracy 60%
45 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao squeezed past Tianjin Teda 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 68% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 32%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 3.53 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.20 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Tianjin Teda?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 57%, draw 23%, Tianjin Teda 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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