Dalian Zhixing 0-3 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 34% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 48%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.02/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.41
+37% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.8 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0-3
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
0.39 xG 2.63
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
226 Passes 180
67% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun cruised past Dalian Zhixing 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 54% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 46%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.39 to 2.63.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun?

Dalian Zhixing 0-3 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 28%, draw 31%, Yunnan Yukun 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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