Foshan Nanshi 1-2 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
37%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.7pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.0pp
37%
Away Win
49%
-11.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 53%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.08/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.62
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.5 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
10.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
24.09.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun squeezed past Foshan Nanshi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 34% / 37% — and on the day Guangxi Baoyun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.67 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Foshan Nanshi 1-2 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 29%, draw 34%, Guangxi Baoyun 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
15 Jun 2024
14:00 Dalian Zhixing vs Yunnan Yukun Analysis →
14:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →
14:30 Nanjing City vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:30 Hebei Kungfu vs Shanghai Jiading Analysis →
14:30 Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuxi Wugou Analysis →