Liaoning Shenyang 0-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.38/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.31
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
35.5 Crosses 14.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
275 Passes 284
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
13.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 4-0 HT 2-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-3 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
07.05.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
05.07.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-2 HT 0-2 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
0-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.30 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
340 Passes 216
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 11
39 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi squeezed past Liaoning Shenyang 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Liaoning Shenyang at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 60% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 40%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Liaoning Shenyang.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.83 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi?

Liaoning Shenyang 0-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 47%, draw 25%, Foshan Nanshi 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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