Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.75
No
67%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.5pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.8pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.00/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.29
-26% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 65%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
19.3 Crosses 11.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.81 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
256 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
10.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
24.09.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
07.09.2022 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun nicked a narrow win over Foshan Nanshi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guangxi Baoyun as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 0.83 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 63%, draw 20%, Foshan Nanshi 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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