Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.87/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.69
-25% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.4 Crosses 15.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
210 Passes 218
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-2 HT 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
07.05.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 0-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1-1
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.99 xG 0.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
220 Passes 220
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu and Guangzhou Evergrande shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 51% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 49%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.00 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 36%, draw 31%, Guangzhou Evergrande 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
27 Apr 2024
10:30 Jiangxi Beidamen vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:30 Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis →
14:30 Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →