Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Yunnan Yukun
1-1 HT 1-0
Chongqing Tongliang Long
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tongliang Long — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.73/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.92
+52% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.0 Crosses 25.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Chongqing Tongliang Long couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Yunnan Yukun at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 43%, draw 28%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
27 Apr 2024
10:30 Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangzhou Evergrande Analysis →
10:30 Jiangxi Beidamen vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:30 Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →