Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
18%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
18%
Away Win
26%
-8.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.35
-29% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.63 xG 0.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
180 Passes 226
63% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.06.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-0
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.46 xG 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
242 Passes 196
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun got the better of Dalian Zhixing 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 54% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 46%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.46 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?

Yunnan Yukun 2-0 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 50%, draw 32%, Dalian Zhixing 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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