Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.68
No
59%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 34% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-14.7pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
0.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.05
-2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
10.4 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.04.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun edged past Foshan Nanshi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guangxi Baoyun as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 48%, draw 27%, Foshan Nanshi 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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