Qingdao Red Lions 2-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
6%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 25%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.65/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.31
-69% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.5 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.82 xG 0.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
183 Passes 205
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
2-1
AWAY Nanjing City
1.70 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Qingdao Red Lions as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 47% of the ball to Nanjing City's 53%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.70 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City?

Qingdao Red Lions 2-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Red Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 48%, draw 26%, Nanjing City 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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