Wuxi Wugou 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.57
Draw
38%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.78
Over 2.5
34%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
3.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 39% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
35%
-9.8pp
38%
Draw
28%
+9.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 40%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.31/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.56
-100% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
28.5 Crosses 20.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.37 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
273 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-1 HT 1-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0-1
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.58 xG 1.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
379 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long edged past Wuxi Wugou 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 38% / 37% — and on the day Chongqing Tongliang Long made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 61% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 39%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.58 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Wuxi Wugou 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 25%, draw 38%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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