Shanghai Jiading 0-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 51%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.53/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.44
-26% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +97%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
12.1 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Jiading
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 0.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
168 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
15.10.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-1 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 2-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
0-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.40 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
208 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu edged past Shanghai Jiading 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hebei Kungfu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Jiading had 45% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 55%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.40 to 1.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hebei Kungfu's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shanghai Jiading and 1.00 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu?

Shanghai Jiading 0-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 26%, draw 32%, Hebei Kungfu 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebei Kungfu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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