Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

Foshan Nanshi
1-1 HT 1-0
Guangxi Baoyun
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 37% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.8pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Foshan Nanshi v Guangxi Baoyun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.59
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
16.3 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-2 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.04.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
18.10.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
02.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
10.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.88 xG 0.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
278 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Guangxi Baoyun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 43% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 57%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.88 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.67 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 28%, draw 31%, Guangxi Baoyun 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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