Rizhao Yuqi 3-1 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rizhao Yuqi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 38%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rizhao Yuqi
3-1
AWAY Hainan Star
3.53 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 216
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rizhao Yuqi vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rizhao Yuqi beat Hainan Star 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Rizhao Yuqi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rizhao Yuqi had 51% of the ball to Hainan Star's 49%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 3.53 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Rizhao Yuqi vs Hainan Star?

Rizhao Yuqi 3-1 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rizhao Yuqi vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rizhao Yuqi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rizhao Yuqi 38%, draw 28%, Hainan Star 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rizhao Yuqi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rizhao Yuqi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
16 Sep 2024
11:00 Shenzhen Juniors vs Haimen Codion Analysis →
14:00 Dalian Huayi vs Shanghai Port II Analysis →
14:30 Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Baoyun Analysis →
14:30 Guangxi Lanhang vs Taian Tiankuang Analysis →
14:30 Qingdao Red Lions vs Jiangxi Beidamen Analysis →