Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Haimen Codion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.6pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 17%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.55/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.40
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -54%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 70%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
20.0 Crosses 18.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
2-1
AWAY Haimen Codion
0.83 xG 1.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
321 Passes 167
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Haimen Codion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen Juniors edged past Haimen Codion 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shenzhen Juniors as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 60% of the ball to Haimen Codion's 40%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.83 to 1.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Haimen Codion.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Haimen Codion?

Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Haimen Codion in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Haimen Codion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 54%, draw 22%, Haimen Codion 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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