Qingdao Red Lions 1-2 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Sep 2024

Qingdao Red Lions
1-2 HT 1-2
Jiangxi Beidamen
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024

Qingdao Red Lions vs Jiangxi Beidamen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qingdao Red Lions v Jiangxi Beidamen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 27%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.71/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.07
-100% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
26.0 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Qingdao Red Lions vs Jiangxi Beidamen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 0.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
210 Passes 222
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jiangxi Beidamen edged past Qingdao Red Lions 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Qingdao Red Lions at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Qingdao Red Lions 1-2 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Red Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 44%, draw 33%, Jiangxi Beidamen 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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