Changchun YaTai 2-2 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.49
2-3 Goals
44%
2.25
4-5 Goals
23%
2.43
6+ Goals
11%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.98
1/2
9%
23.6
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
7%
5.8
X/2
18%
6.66
X/X EV+ ✗
18%
6.58
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
15%
3.6
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · X/X at 6.58 — our 18% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
42%
-13.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.38/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.95
+24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
14.6 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
275 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
12.07.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.06.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
07.06.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
13.10.2021 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
2-2
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.19 xG 2.23
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
168 Passes 463
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 40
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai and Zhejiang G. FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 29% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 71%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.19 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.00 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Changchun YaTai 2-2 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 29%, draw 30%, Zhejiang G. FC 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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