Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.0
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
14%
6.14
X/2
9%
5.36
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.96/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.11
+40% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.5 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.08.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
12.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
17.08.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-2
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.22 xG 2.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
319 Passes 340
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 48% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 52%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.22 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Shenhua's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.00 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 42%, draw 26%, Shanghai Shenhua 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
2 Nov 2024
00:00 Qingdao Jonoon vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Analysis →
10:30 Shandong Taishan vs Meizhou Hakka Analysis →
10:30 Changchun YaTai vs Zhejiang G. FC Analysis →
10:30 Beijing Guoan vs Henan Jianye Analysis →
10:30 Shenzhen FC vs Nantong Zhiyun Analysis →
10:30 Shanghai Port vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →