Shandong Taishan 2-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.62
1/2
4%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
8%
4.93
X/2
14%
7.53
X/X
18%
5.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
7%
4.72
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/2.11
+28% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
40.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
37.7 Crosses 32.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.05 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
04.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 6-1 HT 3-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
26.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-6 HT 0-4 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
06.05.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
05.10.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
2-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
3.18 xG 2.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
426 Passes 322
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan squeezed past Meizhou Hakka 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 56% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 44%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 3.18 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.80 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Meizhou Hakka?

Shandong Taishan 2-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 45%, draw 30%, Meizhou Hakka 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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