Shenzhen FC 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.1
X/1
12%
3.43
X/2
8%
15.45
X/X
14%
6.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
2/2
8%
12.8
2/X
5%
20.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 15%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/2.16
-36% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
16.3 Crosses 12.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2024 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
19.08.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
19.05.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
2-1
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.73 xG 0.59
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
185 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC squeezed past Nantong Zhiyun 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shenzhen FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 38% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 62%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.73 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shenzhen FC and 0.67 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Shenzhen FC 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 53%, draw 24%, Nantong Zhiyun 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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