Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.65
X/1
21%
4.43
X/2
14%
8.69
X/X
10%
5.87
2/1
5%
20.15
2/2
8%
6.24
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.30/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.77
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
21.5 Crosses 18.4
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
231 Passes 254
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 3-2 HT 2-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
26.10.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2-0 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-3 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
1-1
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
0.76 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
270 Passes 190
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yunnan Yukun at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 57% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 43%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.76 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 1.00 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?

Yunnan Yukun 1-1 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 54%, draw 21%, Dalian Zhixing 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ BTTS Yes
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