Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.19
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
18%
4.98
X/2
5%
6.46
X/X
9%
4.22
2/1
4%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.76
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 9% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.49/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
+21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.3 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
19.07.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
06.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
01.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
22.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 2-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
17.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.22 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
201 Passes 232
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon squeezed past Shenzhen FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Qingdao Jonoon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 48% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 52%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.22 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.33 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 47%, draw 27%, Shenzhen FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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