Shenzhen FC 4-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.8
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
7.33
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
9%
5.73
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · X/2 at 7.33 — our 14% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 30%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.13/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.41
-48% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.3 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 282
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
01.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
22.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 2-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
17.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
12.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
4-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.16 xG 0.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
272 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC ran out comfortable winners over Qingdao Jonoon 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shenzhen FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 45% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 55%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 3.16 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shenzhen FC and 1.50 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shenzhen FC 4-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 49%, draw 23%, Qingdao Jonoon 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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