Shenzhen FC 1-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.58
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.4
X/2
14%
5.88
X/X
12%
4.42
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.09
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.48/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.13
+18% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.8 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
06.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
01.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
22.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 HT 2-2 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
17.08.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
12.05.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.53 xG 1.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
175 Passes 355
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Qingdao Jonoon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 38% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 62%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shenzhen FC and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shenzhen FC 1-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 40%, draw 28%, Qingdao Jonoon 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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