Tianjin Teda 1-0 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.22
1/2
5%
22.1
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.7
X/2
13%
5.32
X/X
5%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.0
2/2
20%
2.97
2/X
9%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.78/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.91
+3% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
27.1 Crosses 26.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-4 HT 2-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
14.09.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
04.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
13.08.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
14.05.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
10.12.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
1-0
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.89 xG 0.87
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 5
185 Passes 466
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 34
2 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda nicked a narrow win over Henan Jianye 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tianjin Teda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 32% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 68%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.00 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?

Tianjin Teda 1-0 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 39%, draw 22%, Henan Jianye 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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