Henan Jianye 3-4 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.18
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
7%
5.41
X/2
9%
6.77
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
12%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.51
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 34%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.12/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.55
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
20.4 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 0.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
275 Passes 259
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
04.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
13.08.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
14.05.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
10.12.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
14.09.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
3-4
AWAY Tianjin Teda
2.49 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 291
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda nicked a narrow win over Henan Jianye 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 50% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.49 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Henan Jianye.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.00 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda?

Henan Jianye 3-4 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 48%, draw 26%, Tianjin Teda 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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