Yunnan Yukun 3-2 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.77
1/2
5%
23.75
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
15%
6.27
X/2
10%
5.9
X/X
14%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✓
6%
25.0
2/2
23%
3.42
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 6% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.70/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.58
-33% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.0 Crosses 12.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
3-2
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.91 xG 1.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
171 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun edged past Shandong Taishan 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Yunnan Yukun found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 42% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 58%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.91 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan?

Yunnan Yukun 3-2 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 35%, draw 27%, Shandong Taishan 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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