Qingdao Jonoon 3-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.54
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.49
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.61
X/2
10%
8.37
X/X
14%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.9
2/2
14%
6.24
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.72/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.01
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.6 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
320 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 5-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
22.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
08.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
26.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
25.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.83 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
421 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon cruised past Changchun YaTai 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Qingdao Jonoon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 58% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 42%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.83 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.00 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 44%, draw 25%, Changchun YaTai 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5
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