Tianjin Teda 1-0 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 26% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.28
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.39
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.53/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.64
+6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.7 Crosses 13.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.78 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
13.08.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-0 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
14.05.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
10.12.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
14.09.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
28.12.2021 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
1-0
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.32 xG 0.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
220 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda nicked a narrow win over Henan Jianye 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 45% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 55%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.32 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tianjin Teda and 0.50 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?

Tianjin Teda 1-0 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 44%, draw 28%, Henan Jianye 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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