Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-1 HT 2-0
Meizhou Hakka
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.95
Over 2.5
60%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.06
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
11%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.01
X/2
8%
5.27
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
2/2
21%
3.36
2/X
3%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.5pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Meizhou Hakka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.1 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Meizhou Hakka Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.64 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
278 Passes 387
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
29.09.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
09.06.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-3 HT 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
29.06.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 4-1 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
09.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 Meizhou Hakka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.29 xG 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 14
278 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 44
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions squeezed past Meizhou Hakka 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Cangzhou Mighty Lions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 45% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 55%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 1.29 to 2.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Meizhou Hakka.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 1.80 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Meizhou Hakka?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 36%, draw 26%, Meizhou Hakka 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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