Meizhou Hakka 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
14%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
13%
7.19
X/X
17%
4.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
2/2
9%
5.09
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.76/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.6 Crosses 12.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.72 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
369 Passes 283
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
09.06.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-3 HT 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
29.06.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 4-1 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
09.06.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-1
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
458 Passes 259
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka and Cangzhou Mighty Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Meizhou Hakka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 62% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 38%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Meizhou Hakka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.25 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Meizhou Hakka 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 42%, draw 29%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Meizhou Hakka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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