Nantong Zhiyun 2-3 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2024

Nantong Zhiyun
2-3 HT 1-1
Changchun YaTai
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun YaTai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.88
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
7%
5.55
X/X
18%
3.94
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
19%
3.98
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantong Zhiyun v Changchun YaTai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.05/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.26
-45% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.8 Crosses 12.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun YaTai Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
372 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.08.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
06.05.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
08.10.2020 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
20.09.2020 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN2

Nantong Zhiyun 2-3 Changchun YaTai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2-3
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.46 xG 1.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
396 Passes 159
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai edged past Nantong Zhiyun 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Changchun YaTai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 65% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 35%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.46 to 1.09 — on chances, Nantong Zhiyun could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.50 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun YaTai?

Nantong Zhiyun 2-3 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 36%, draw 30%, Changchun YaTai 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
5 May 2024
13:00 Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang G. FC Analysis →
14:00 Meizhou Hakka vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Analysis →
14:35 Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon Analysis →