Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
9%
9.69
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
4%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.97
2/X
4%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.68/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.12
+2% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
30.5 Crosses 13.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.88 xG 0.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
600 Passes 339
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 8
30.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
29.04.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-3 HT 0-2 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.19 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
449 Passes 336
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wuhan Three Towns as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 56% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 44%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.19 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wuhan Three Towns's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 0.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 52%, draw 23%, Qingdao Jonoon 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
5 May 2024
10:30 Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun YaTai Analysis →
13:00 Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang G. FC Analysis →
14:00 Meizhou Hakka vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Analysis →