Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.93
2-3 Goals
43%
2.06
4-5 Goals
22%
2.58
6+ Goals
11%
5.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.93 — our 24% vs market 12.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
7%
4.3
X/2
12%
10.6
X/X
15%
6.59
2/1
8%
19.55
2/2
9%
6.86
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.51/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
-2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.1 Crosses 12.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.71 xG 1.28
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
172 Passes 391
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
07.07.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
05.12.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 0-2 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
10.09.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
4-0
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
4.84 xG 0.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
284 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
39 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua swept aside Zhejiang G. FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 42% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 58%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 4.84 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zhejiang G. FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.25 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 45%, draw 29%, Zhejiang G. FC 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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