Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

Chengdu Qianbao
2-2 HT 2-0
Beijing Guoan
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.45
2-3 Goals
36%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
16%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✓
10%
19.35
X/1
25%
3.67
X/2
6%
16.1
X/X
7%
7.75
2/1
9%
20.3
2/2
8%
11.6
2/X
6%
19.45
Value flag · 1/X at 19.35 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chengdu Qianbao v Beijing Guoan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/3.15
+4% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.9 Crosses 10.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.51 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 Passes 259
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
30.06.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
08.06.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-3 HT 2-3 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
28.11.2020 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK

Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Beijing Guoan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-2
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.95 xG 0.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
251 Passes 496
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao and Beijing Guoan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Chengdu Qianbao carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 36% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 64%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.50 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 58%, draw 23%, Beijing Guoan 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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