Dumbarton 0-4 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 11 Jul 2026

Dumbarton
0-4 HT 0-2
St. Mirren
📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✓
Scotland - League Cup – 2026/2027

Dumbarton vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
9.57
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
77%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.77
2-3 Goals
35%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.33
6+ Goals
16%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
8%
+1.2pp
14%
Draw
13%
+1.5pp
77%
Away Win
79%
-2.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dumbarton v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 84%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.97/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.40
+30% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +80%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 548 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dumbarton vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
10.07.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-3 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
28.07.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 6-0 HT 2-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
27.03.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 5-0 HT 2-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
13.01.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
02.12.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
14.10.2017 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren ran out comfortable winners over Dumbarton 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dumbarton and 3.00 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs St. Mirren?

Dumbarton 0-4 St. Mirren in the Scotland - League Cup on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 9%, draw 14%, St. Mirren 77%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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