Stranraer vs Ayr United — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.21
Draw
15%
4.36
Away
69%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.11
Over 2.5
59%
1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
1.71
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.1pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.1pp
69%
Away Win
67%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 71%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.13/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.90
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -18%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
13.01.2026 Ayr United Ayr United 4-1 HT 3-1 Stranraer Stranraer İKCK
14.11.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
27.07.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
14.04.2018 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
02.01.2018 Stranraer Stranraer 1-5 HT 0-2 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
28.10.2017 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
FAQ Stranraer vs Ayr United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ayr United edged past Stranraer 3-2 away from home in the Scotland - League Cup on 11 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stranraer and 2.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Ayr United?

Stranraer 2-3 Ayr United in the Scotland - League Cup on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 16%, draw 15%, Ayr United 69%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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