Atletico Rafaela 1-3 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Jul 2026

📅11/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
32%
-7.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.17/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.99
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
22.02.2026 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
18.09.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
07.05.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
02.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
FAQ Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Deportivo Maipu beat Atletico Rafaela 3-1 away from home in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 40%.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 0.75 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu?

Atletico Rafaela 1-3 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 47%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maipu 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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