Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
38%
2.66
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
38%
Draw
34%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-5.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -29%
1.15/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.27
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
18.09.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
07.05.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
02.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu nicked a narrow win over Atletico Rafaela 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 38% / 20% — and on the day Deportivo Maipu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.00 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Rafaela?

Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 42%, draw 38%, Atletico Rafaela 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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