Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
41%
2.58
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.75
No
73%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
56%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
29%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.7pp
41%
Draw
36%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
27%
BTTS Yes
32%
-5.3pp
73%
BTTS No
68%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
0.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.83
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-1D-2L
AWAY San Miguel
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
14.09.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-1 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
10.05.2025 San Miguel San Miguel 2-0 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
12.10.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and San Miguel shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (77%) landed while no to both teams scoring (73%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Miguel led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.75 for San Miguel.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 33%, draw 41%, San Miguel 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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