Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.67/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.82
-34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Miguel
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
10.05.2025 San Miguel San Miguel 2-0 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
12.10.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel edged past Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.67 for San Miguel.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel?

Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 44%, draw 29%, San Miguel 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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