Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.9pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.36/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/0.76
+5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste nicked a narrow win over San Miguel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferro Carril Oeste as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel?

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 45%, draw 34%, San Miguel 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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