Atletico Rafaela 1-2 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.0pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
01.03.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown nicked a narrow win over Atletico Rafaela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Rafaela at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs Almirante Brown?

Atletico Rafaela 1-2 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Rafaela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 43%, draw 31%, Almirante Brown 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Rafaela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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