Deportivo Moron 1-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-5.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.9pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.35/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.79
+24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
24.09.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
15.08.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
09.02.2020 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
01.03.2014 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron squeezed past Nueva Chicago 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Deportivo Moron made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Deportivo Moron and 0.40 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Nueva Chicago?

Deportivo Moron 1-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 40%, draw 34%, Nueva Chicago 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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