Alvarado 2-1 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.97/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.79
+1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.03.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 5-0 HT 2-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
03.11.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-2 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
05.07.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado squeezed past Chacarita Juniors 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Alvarado made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alvarado and 2.00 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Chacarita Juniors?

Alvarado 2-1 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 33%, draw 27%, Chacarita Juniors 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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